Obama, Oil & Pakistan

Region Of Concerns

January 22, 2009 

America’s military policy is following its foreign policy which follows the smell of oil. Forget freedom and democracy. That’s for fools. Pakistanis are fooling themselves if they think President Obama will be able to change this. Let’s pray he does. The Karachi-Torkham-Afghanistan supply route and the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan pipeline means that U.S. will have to take effective control of Balochistan, Gwadar and Karachi. This will also help deny Iran and China any stake in their own pipelines across Pakistan. America can’t do this by going to war with a strong Pakistani military. Destabilization is part of the plan, with some margin for unintended consequences. Now you understand the game. By

Ahmed Quraishi | Wednesday, 21 January 2009.

ISLAMABAD, Pakistan—Publicly, America’s most immediate challenge after the government change is Afghanistan and Pakistan. Privately, in Washington’s power corridors, it is oil. Oil, and not al Qaeda, is threatening to knock America off global leadership. President Obama takes over a country whose global economic leadership is threatened by dwindling oil reserves and a dogfight over whatever remains. Oil is running out, fast. And the remaining oil, including new reserves, lie in other people’s lands, closer to Russia, China, Europe and other powers. America’s global supremacy rests on an economic system based on easy access to oil. If someone else gets that oil, America loses. Jon Thompson, an American oil veteran ExxonMobil Exploration Company’s former president, has written in June 2003 that by next decade the world will need 80% more oil than we have today to keep the world going. Luckily for President Obama, his predecessor, George W. Bush, has done an excellent job in: One, securing new oil, and, Two, warding off threat from other oil hungry powers. Under the guise of spreading freedom and democracy, Bush’s eight years saw the biggest expansion of American military bases across the world. And the trail follows the smell of oil. This riddle is as mysterious as the whereabouts of Osama bin Laden. America’s foreign policy was also adjusted to follow the footprint of oil, going where the oil is, be it Angola, Sudan/Darfur, Central Asia, Russia, Colombia, Georgia, Venezuela, and of course Iraq. Somalia is fast becoming the latest battlefield in this secretive global dogfight over oil and transport routes.

In the words of veteran American oil industry correspondent William Engdahl, ‘U.S. military and foreign policy was now about controlling every major existing and potential oil source and transport route on earth […] One superpower, the United States, would be in a position to decide who gets how much energy and at what price.’ The Taliban government was not an enemy of America. It sent delegations to United States and lobbied for U.S. State Department’s attention. Its removal was decided much before 9/11, according to Pakistan’s former top diplomat Niaz Naik, who was told so explicitly by U.S. officials in July 2001. Taliban fell out of favor because they put terms and conditions on the pipelines that American oil giants planned to construct on Afghan territory. Taliban were replaced by U.S. oil consultants Zalmay Khalilzad and Hamid Karzai. Pakistan was and continues to be the next target. U.S. diplomatic meddling has already disturbed the natural progression of the Pakistani government system, leading to instability and creating local players who look to America for support. U.S. military intervention is softening up the country through regular missile attacks and drone flights. The last time this method proved effective was in Iraq during the 1990s.

The chatter in the U.S. think tanks and media about Pakistan’s division along ethnic lines has never been this high. Pakistan has to be subdued in order for American energy and military transport lines to become secure. America needs to secure Pakistani transport routes from the sea to the Afghan border. Balochistan is an interesting case. Destabilizing this Pakistani province disturbs Iran’s plans to lay down pipelines to Pakistan and beyond. The instability also helps destroy China’s chances of using Gwadar, the new Pakistani port city overlooking oil-rich Gulf, to dock its commercial and naval ships. In fact, the entire area between Gwadar and the Sino-Pakistani border is up in insurgencies of all sorts, known and unknown. This is the same route that a future Chinese oil pipeline is supposed to take, linking China to oil supplies from Africa and the Gulf. This entire area was peaceful before 2005, until meddling by unknown actors began from the U.S.-controlled Afghan soil, exploiting Pakistani internal problems. The United States is playing a big role in ‘softening’ Pakistan. It is trying to pitch the country’s elected governments against the military to reduce the military’s ability to decide Pakistani interest on Afghanistan, China and India. Outside meddling is easy thanks to Pakistan’s weak political and government structure. Stopping American intervention in Pakistan, while continuing the cooperative relationship, is the biggest challenge facing President Obama. Will he do it? The facts on the ground are not encouraging. After gaining unprecedented access inside Pakistan – both diplomatically and militarily – it is doubtful that an Obama administration would scale back U.S. gains. Pakistan will have to tell the U.S. that it has legitimate security and strategic interests in the region and that it cannot allow the U.S. to decide those for Pakistan. This includes the shape of the future government in Kabul, the expansion of the Indian role in the region, and the relationship with China. Obama’s Washington has to understand, respect and work with Pakistani interests and concerns. Any other type of relationship won’t work. President Obama needs to wean his policy planners off the idea of reproducing the pliant regimes Baghdad and Kabul. Those things require war. And President Obama doesn’t want another war, does he?

This post is taken from the following:-

http://pakistankakhudahafiz.wordpress.com/2009/01/22/oil-obama-and-pakistan/

Kasab evidence insufficient: Gujarat CM Modi

Gujarat’s Chief Minister Narendra Modi attends a climate change summit in New Delhi in this file photo, September 19, 2008. – Reuters AHMEDABAD: Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi has criticized the Indian government for asking Pakistanto accept the statement of the lone surviving gunman in the Mumbai attacks as evidence, the Daily Times reported on Tuesday ‘There is no law in our country that would consider the statement of an arrested person before a top-level police official as evidence,’ he was quoted as saying.‘Despite the situation, we are trying to convince Pakistanto consider the statement evidence. This is very much contradictory,’ continued Modi. India’s ruling Congress party dismissed Modi’s remarks as ‘irresponsible,’ the Press Trust of India reported Monday. Congress spokesman Shakeel Ahmed told a press conference that Modi’s comments seemed to be from ‘an advocate of Pakistan.’ Ahmed went on to ask for a clarification. Tensions between India and Pakistan have heightened following the November 26th/27th attacks in the Indian city of Mumbai which left over 170 people dead. India blames elements within Pakistan for the attack while Pakistan has asked for greater intelligence sharing and evidence to aid in the prosecution Taken from http://www.dawn.net/wps/wcm/connect/Dawn%20Content%20Library/dawn/news/world/kasab-evidence-insufficient-gujarat-cm-modi-yn

The million dollar question is, what are they playing at? they need to work out their conspiracies against Pakistan better than the Mumbai one. Indian government will never learn would they ?
The world is laughing at them now!!!!

Finally….

 

Finally Mr Parnab Mukharjee has annouced that the much awaited evidence of Mumbair carnage has been handed over to Pakistan, spokesman of FO Pakistan has also confirmed receiving the evidence. It has been informed to Indian authorities thart the evidence provided is being looked into by Pakistani authorities.  I must extend my personal thank you to  Mr Parnad Mukharjee for sharing this evidence….

Hang on hang on, did Mr Mukharjee didnt say a few weeks ago that all the evidence had already been handed over the Pakistan?. According to him it included list of people involved and much more. So if evidence was handed over earlier then which evidence is this?

Probably he was dreaming earlier and now he has finally actioned his dream. It must be reminded here that since the day India started blaming Pakistan for the Mumbai carnage, Pakistan has been asking for evidence and India had failed to provide it until now. (evidence provided on 05/01/2009)

“Gaza Strikes” , a disguise ?

Since strike began on Gaza a thought has been going through my mind again and again. In fact, I have discussed it with few of my close friends and they are of the same view as I am. So I thought I would share it here on my blog and see what responses to I get….

I think Gaza strikes have started all of a sudden to create a distraction from the current Pakistan and India crisis. This can be for a few reasons:-

• An attempt to take away the attention from India (after the blunder of Indian Planned Mumbai carnage ).

• To distract Pakistan in order to effect its readiness towards any surgical strikes by India.
 
• May be, to give India time to come up with some fresh false allegation or may be one more Indian planned carnage on Indian soil.

• Finally, may be Israel is just trying to show its might on innocent civilians.

The possibilities are endless……

I don’t know how much I am right or wrong on this but its just a thought.  Pakistan should keep its guard stiffer than ever, although Indian government is saying that they are not looking for a war, can we trust them ?

Indian Bluff

An eye opener by my fellow blogger…..
http://pakistankakhudahafiz.wordpress.com/

Will India launch punitive strike(s) against Pakistan? Highly unlikely. India would have already struck if it had a choice. It doesn’t have a choice for two major reasons:

1. Indians know, they can start a conflict, but where and how the war ends will not be in their control.

2. By tangling themselves in a war, they run a too realistic risk of delivering a mortal blow to their service-based economy, which may not even survive the brinksmanship Indians are engaging in.

Arguably, Indians suffer from the ‘white man’s complex.’ Urbanite Indians love to mimic the American way of life. They imitate the ‘goras’ in ways ranging from their attire to their manner of speech. So much so, they have named Bombay film industry after an American icon, namely the Hollywood. Somewhere during the last decade or so, Indians became so engrossed with the ‘gora complex’ that they began imagining India to be an economical powerhouse and military superpower equating the Americans. Perhaps, it’s this complex which sullied the better judgment of Indian urbanites and their media in demanding punitive strikes against Pakistan.

Nevertheless, after the initial hysteria will ware down, at least some sane Indians will ask, if India could afford such an arrogant behavior? That when the reality will hit them rudely, like ton of bricks, that neither India is America nor Pakistan is Afghanistan.

Despite the ferocious appearance of the Indian military, largely on paper; the fact remains, over 80% of its obsolete hardware is a carryover from the Soviet-era. Indian handicap of obsolete hardware was highlighted during the 2002 India-Pakistan standoff. It was a humiliating experience for the Indians. Operation Parakram cost India about $2 billion in cash and 798 in human cost, and that too without a single shot fired from the Pakistani side.

It was also a disastrous Indian deployment, because even after one year of hostile posturing, they could not cross the border, fearing an all out war ending in a nuclear exchange. That is when India truly lost its supposed conventional superiority over Pakistan. The humiliating pull back effectively closed the doors on India for any future conventional war endeavors; because Pakistani nuclear arsenal was here to stay. However, during the same time Pakistanis were modernizing its arsenal through the rapid induction of modern weaponry like F-17 fighters and precision weapons like the Hatf-8 cruise missiles.

Since then, India has dabbled with nonstarters, like ‘cold start’ doctrine. The idea was to catch Pakistan off-guard by sending a comparatively smaller but highly mobile force across the border at a moment’s notice. It was a nonstarter because of Pakistani equalizer (its nukes); plus they realized they would still have to deploy a considerable amount of logistics and men at the front positions, where they would have remained juicy sitting-ducks for the preemptive PAF air strikes.

The other reason India cannot afford a war with Pakistan is, its economy is too young and still too small to survive through a round of war. Regardless, the havoc it will run on the already distressed Pakistani economy, the war will for sure spell an end to the largely service-based economy, which depends on the foreign investments; and the foreign investments inherently depend on peace driven stability.

A brief look will abundantly expose the facade of the Indian economy; which will collapse at the first signs of uncertainty or instability. In 2008, its external debts increased to around $221 billion. In 2007, Indian exports stood around $145 billion, while imports were around $217 billion; a deficit of $72 billion in a single year.

Its factory output account for 27.6% of the GDP and employs 17% of the total workforce. Rest of the workforce is largely dedicated to the agriculture sector. According to a 2008 World Bank report, 75.6% Indians live on less than $2 per day. It suffers from higher rates of malnutrition than Sub-Saharan Africa. Over 70% its population is either illiterate or educated below the primary level. Indian tourist industry is 1/6 of Las Vegas. Recently, Standard & Poor’s announced, India risk a downgrade from BBB-minus rating to the lowest investment-grade rating. Clearly, Indians are hardly in a financial shape to even contemplate on waging a war.

Indian service industry accounts for over 55% of its GDP. Bangalore is called the Silicon Valley of India. A large number of Information Technology companies are located in the city. It is the largest contributor of India’s $33 billion IT exports (2007). IT giants like Infosys and Wipro are headquartered in Bangalore. Other undertakings headquartered in Bangalore are Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL), National Aerospace Laboratories (NAL) and Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) to name the few.

Bangalore is also called the world’s call-centre capital. Foreign IT giants like the IBM, Microsoft, Dell, Hewlett-Packard, Apple and Cisco have also heavily invested in the city by opening call centers there. These call centers bring in major amounts of service-generated foreign revenues. Their 24/7 operations provide the customer support throughout the globe. An interruption of operations for even for a single day could mean loss of millions of dollars for the foreign investors.

As ugly as it may sound, but that’s what wars are, brutal and ugly. Imagine: far short of nuclear strike, only a couple of bombs or Shaheen-II (with an accuracy of 200m) armed with conventional warheads are dropped on the outskirts of Bangalore. Will even a single foreign company think twice before closing their operations for good? Would they stay around to see if they will get lucky during second round too?

Feel-good slogans like ‘shining India’ don’t help the arrogance clouding the good judgment war-mongering Indians. They can try to start a war on their terms, but it will definitely not end at their terms. Unless India has somehow overcome their fear of far-superior Pakistani nuclear arsenal, or they have found a way to move whole India under kilometer deep nuke-proof shelters, it will not dare to start a war.

Adnan Gill.

Hindu Terrorist.

A few dead Muslims out of 2000 who were burnt during Gujrat carnage

"Samjhota Express" Evidence of Hindu Terrorism...

  The following news appeared in Dawn newspaper today about  a group of Hindu terrorist who planned and executed murder of several Muslims travelling in samjhota express.

 

Hindu leader admits he was involved in Malegaon blasts

NEW DELHI, Dec 30: Dayanand Pandey, a Hindu religious leader, has admitted to his involvement in the Malegaon blasts, according to officials.

Media reports quoting Additional Commissioner of Police (Anti-Terrorism Squad) Parambir Singh on Tuesday said that Pandey had confessed to his involvement in the deadly attack.

Precautions have been taken to ensure that his confession is admissible in court. Pandey was arrested in Kanpur on November 12.

He was charged with plotting the bomb blasts outside a mosque along with prime accused Pragya Singh Thakur and Lt-Col Shrikant Purohit. Eight persons were killed in the explosion.

Pandey had attended several meetings with the other accused for planning the blasts. Purohit had helped Pandey in getting weapons and explosives.

Police said it had recovered a laptop from Pandey that contained audio and video clippings which revealed details about his several meetings with the other 10 accused.—APP

Should the world believe Indian propaganda anymore? “NO”. Like I said in one of my earlier post its India, Hindu and Hinduism which propagates terrorism. There needs to be no  BIGGER PROOF than their continuous terrorism against Muslim, Christan’s, Sikhs and other minorities in Kashmir, Gujrat, Mumbai and Delhi. 

Lets wait and let the Mumbai attack realities unfold, who knows which Indina army man, which Indian politician and which Indian agency was involded in that. 

If they are asking for Lakvi chief or any other people who they think are involved in Mumbai carnage (withouth any proof) then we have every right to ask for Narainder Modi who is the real terrorist of India and was behind the execution of 2000 Muslims in Gujrat in India.

The Real Terrorist & A Murderer

 

Truth is the reality, India tries to avert 

India bites the dust….

First of all I would like to extend my thank you to China. In the fiasco of past weeks China once again has stood by Pakistan’s side making it clear that the best way of resolution of disputes is dialogue.
We as Pakistani must always be thankful to China and its support to us.

After weeks and weeks of blame game by India it has achieved nothing but shame on itself. The Indian planned incidents of Mumbai were planned to undermine and pressurize Pakistan (A plan which fell flat). We all saw the Mumbai carnage and the statements of eye witnesses. All pointed fingers back at India but it was incompetent politicians like Parnab Mukharjee who got carried away and now they have bowed their heads in shame. Mr Mukharjee needs to realize that this time things are not the same as 1971. They wont succeed the in making Bangladesh away by supporting people like Mujeeb-ur-Rehman and organizations like Mukti Bahini.

Pakistan on the other hand has sent a clear message to Indian counterparts saying “You can’t dictate us”. India so far has exhausted all efforts to pressurize Pakistan but it is yet to provide Pakistan with a solid proof. Yes, they have provided us with a letter from Kasab, Qasav or whatever that boys name, would anyone sensible enough will take that letter as a credible form of evidence? If one is sensible enough, then the answer will be “NO”.

Looking at how the events have unfolded so far India must have realized that Pakistan will always be united against India. No matter what our internal conflicts are we will always stand united if anyone tries to impose a war on us. I myself had decided weeks back that if war erupts then I will support my mother land financially and physically. I even had plans to fly back to Karachi in case of war and similar were the thoughts of my friends.

So what should we expect now from India? Is there going to be any evidence sharing from India? Do we actually think that India has tangible evidence showing Pakistan involved in Mumbai carnage? I don’t think so.

From past experiences it has been clear that India and Indian’s are not competent enough to think sensibly. In my opinion Mumbai incidents will turn out to be like Samjhota express incidents proving that India has got internal problems. They have 100’s of separate movements within their country and they are trying to suppress them. There is no doubt the Indian government, opposition and RAW was involved in Mumbai brutalities.

The so called world’s greatest democracy is a mockery of all democracies. Over the years the brutal killings of Sikh’s, Muslims, Christians have proved it that Hindu’s are terrorist and not to forget their continued invasion of Kashmir (this is a topic within itself.) After the Mumbai carnage India ran to U.N. to seek a ban on some organization and on the other hand India doesn’t even follow the U.N resolution on Kashmir. What a bloody joke!!!

India has always pointed fingers at Pakistan for terrorism but it has always failed to address issues like Gujrat massacre of Muslims, target killings of Christians, mass murder of Sikh’s and much more. The fact is that anyone who is not a Hindu is in danger in India.

An Indian journalist made the following video’s which clearly show Hindu’s confessing of mass murder of Muslims.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D11oeBBfQxk&feature=related
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpjS1WWAmtE&NR=1
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1l3neoDICXE&feature=related

Watching this video reminds me of the way Mumbai carnage was conducted and I tend to find similarities on how innocent people were murdered in Gujrat and Mumbai and I reach the conclusion that these terrorist were Indian’s trained the same way as the terrorist of Gujrat were trained and they were on the same mission of killing innocent civilians. Does this mean that they were RAW trained terrorist serving their duties? And Indian government masterminded this plan?

In my opinion India is a threat to the rest of the world. They are of the thought that they will be worlds next super powers whereas, in reality they are a stock of idiots with having much more than what they can really handle. The minorities of India are deprived from everyday needs. So much so that most of them are even discriminated in every aspect of life. They have separation movements running. Their poverty issues are in despair. Indian’s themselves are frustrated with their own government. These are merely some facts which usually remain hidden behind the gimmicky and glamorous world of Bollywood.

The so called “BOOM” in Indian economy is going down the hill, it is greatly dependent on western BPO’s etc, with the west struggling to conduct operations with due to credit crunch it is only a matter of time that the plug will be pulled.

Yet, they believe that they will be the worlds next super power.

It will be in best interest of India to first of all resolve Kashmir dispute because then India will be able to fully concentrate on India itself. They have occupied Kashmir illegally for long enough now and it is time to let go and face the bitter truth that Kashmiri’s want freedom from them. By resolving Kashmir India and Pakistan will be able to work together better and may be the arch rivals will become partners in each others success. The world which awaits us tomorrow will only sustain if we carry peace and harmony. Conflicts will only cause destruction on both sides of the border. We must remember, now wars are only of buttons of WMD.

May peace prevails, there is no other option